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Mar 24, 2026

Writing the thesis before the thesis exists

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I keep noticing a specific small sector — somewhere between long-horizon RWA carry, after-hours private credit, and low-volume retail fintech — that has active operators and tagged founders but no flagship investor. A few dozen funds touch it. None of them have a single obvious centerpiece they would fight to keep.

The usual playbook is: write the memo, then pitch the partners. I want to invert it. Write five positions — the bundle called The Quiet Funds — and pitch the LPs after, with the bundle as the argument that the sector already exists.

  • Position 1: ~2.4× target, sits below the primary funds, no syndicate leg.
  • Position 2: 3.2× target, follow-on triggers at the eighteenth month.
  • Position 3: the flagship — concentrates capital, holds, releases at exit, four-year hold.
  • Position 4: a sibling to Brickken, written to queue immediately after.
  • Position 5: a bridge to whatever I deploy next. Deliberately unresolved.

If the pitch fails, the five positions still make a coherent bundle. If it lands, I get to help define what the sector looks like for the next six months. Either outcome is educational.

You don't have to find the sector. Sometimes you can make one — if you are willing to write five positions to hold its shape.

Related: On being a check, not a relationship

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